Archive for category Economy

Food Blues

On the positive side of “Food Blues,” we could be talking about the freshest crop of blueberries. (Yes, they are beautiful). Instead, we are looking at the latest reports that indicate consumers are not yet believing they are out of the woods on their finances. They exercise caution in their grocery shopping and their restaurant expenses.blueberry

Meal planning, according to the NPD Group study, will remain on the thrifty side. Consumers have learned how to make better meals with less and are not ready to jump from the calm ship and break out the foie gras. The study reports that consumers do not see their situation improving over the next 12 months and plan to continue strategies they employed during the earliest days of the Recession. This information is almost in direct contrast to several economic market indicators pointing in a more positive, upward trajectory.

Examples of thriftier behavior from the report include decreasing spending on groceries, using coupons for food and beverage items, and stocking up on foods when they are on sale. The list also includes shopping for less expensive brands and making use of online coupons.

These are all consumer behavioral strategies that grocers can address to make shopping a better, more positive experience. Matching coupons, doubling or tripling those from circulars, and offering good, solid sale prices on a large variety of products will keep customers loyal returnees. It sounds as if little has changed for the consumer no matter how hopeful everyone wants to remain.

Restaurants have a lot to learn from this report and from the Nielsen Company’s latest research. Some of these findings could spell doom for a number of restaurants that have been hanging on and waiting for customers to increase their dining out events and cash outlays. After surveying 7,500 alcohol beverage consumers, they found almost 60% reducing their trips to casual restaurants and a similar number reported they were going less frequently to more expensive restaurants (fine-dining). An additional find was that 47% said they frequent bars and clubs less often. This translates into changed behavior patterns across the age demographics. The report underlies the belief that consumers learned new ways of entertaining and continue to exhibit uncertainty about the extent of the recovery.

Another interesting tell-all concerns alcoholic beverage purchases. More than 75% of those interviewed said they have not changed their beverage purchases because of price, but 25% of those say they are making fewer purchases. So even in this category, consumers have adjusted their behavior, and they are more conscious of their decisions.

Yes, these reports do NOT put a smile on the face of anyone in the food and beverage universe. They give great pause and increase the likelihood of more promotions rather than assuming that the diner of yore, as in 2-3 years ago, is lining up to get in the door.

Free-wheeling dining and shopping has not returned, and it appears to be stuck in fear. Hopefully, someone is listening.

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Restaurants Saving Themselves

Have you noticed the new caution? I might add, the smart, economic caution associated with some of the decisions restaurants are making in terms of the little, subtle changes.

Here are a few:

Bread and butter do not just magically appear when you are seated. You are often asked if you would like to have bread and butter. Smart, cost-saving approach to running a restaurant. Not like we need to have bread and butter! Nor do they need to put a basket on the table and waste its contents.breadbasket

Sauces. Rather than just put cocktail sauce or tartar sauce, for example, on every fish or seafood plate, servers are checking to see if the diner wants either or both. If not, hey, the kitchen saves the money on either or both of the sauces. Lemon falls into that category. It is no longer just a natural plate adornment. More often than not, guests make the inquiry. It’s not an automatic slice or 1/8th.

Water. Of course, in higher-end restaurants, the water question comes with numerous choices and dollar signs: Flat, fizzy, or tap. At multiple price points, water does not even come to the table unless you ask for it. With a worldwide water shortage, this is a logical, natural omission. Why serve something that’s just going to get poured out and wasted?

As consumers watch their dining out dollars, restaurateurs play the same game. Economic uncertainty still drives many businesses to close their doors. Recuperation is a slow process and little glimmers of hope do not mean we are out of the woods.

Little changes make a significant difference. We can support each other.

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Mother’s Day Panic

MD snoopy brag-LYes, I know it’s still April, but the panic surrounding what to do about Mother’s Day (Sunday, May 9) has already set in. Restaurants are quite pleased with the renewed interest in dining out. According to the National Retail Federation, this particular holiday ranks 2nd only to our spending around the December holidays. That’s a significant statement as specialty stores such as jewelers and florists are also eagerly awaiting the renewed interest in consumer spending. The study also found that over 80% of Americans plan to celebrate the holiday this year. Another sign that we are seeing improvements in the economy!

A quick look at restaurant reservations shows that lots of diners are already well organized for the breakfast, brunch, or dinner outing they’ve planned. This is the time to get to Open Table and see what’s still available in your city. Many restaurants offer special menus that enable them to handle larger crowds but still manage to fill up quickly. Unless you’re planning on finding a spot that does not take reservations and you don’t mind waiting around for a table, this is the week to finalize your plans.

There are plenty of families that shy away from restaurant outings at typically crowded times such as Mother’s Day. They try the more storybook approach with breakfast in bed or a barbecue event–anything that keeps Mom out of the kitchen is the philosophy behind this strategy.

Whatever route you think is best, remember it’s MOM you’re talking about so a little bit of planning is in order. OK, a lot of planning. Now. Don’t forget the card–selection starts waning a few days before the 9th!

Go for it.

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Food World: Restaurant Promotions

filet with wine for webEvery time we see little glimmers of strength in the economy, we are bombarded with a piece of information that makes us question if the news holds true for the restaurant industry. With so many restaurants tweaking their menus and adding small plates for guests to share and help diners reduce the cash outlay, something still is amiss. The same goes for wines as so many restaurants have half-priced wine bottle nights and more restaurants are doing mini pours to encourage wine purchases rather than have guests skip the beverage all together. All these food and beverage promotions are in place for a reason: A financial one.

Most major cities have had a restaurant week promotion and a number of spots continued the concept well beyond a week. Yet before this time we have not had a two-month restaurant week promotion. The Palm announced a Restaurant Week menu (a starter and an entree that comes with at least one side for $39.95) until the end of May. That’s an impressive strategy that should heat up the restaurant wars a little.

So much attention of late has been focused on the mid-tier dining establishments, but now the big guys want to show their food stripes. This will be a major promotion that will prove inordinately successful or be a tell tale sign of limited strength in the industry. It will be worth watching to see how other competitors jump in for the challenge.

A little step forward and two back. We still need promotions and incentives.

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One More Food Tax

A soda tax has been talked about for a long time, and as one group scoffs at its necessity, another jumps to the forefront waving new research. The back-and-forth approach to regulation and what is a government issue v. a personal, private decision remains a hot burner issue.

The Feds seem to be stepping out of the equation with all the other topics floating around, but some of the states seem ready to take up the cause as a way to boost their declining revenues. The formula is a tax fitted to the number of ounces of the drink. Imagine the situation at any of the fast food outlets and then multiply the chaos by the outrage.resize

Whether you’re talking a penny an ounce tax or the very high 18% figure that is being mentioned the concern is the same. We are a country in the out-of-control department about weight gain, obesity, and increases in diabetes. Those being the primary reasons behind the reemergence of the beverage tax. Some in support of the concept talk about overall economic savings.

The real issue that cannot be lost in the steam roll is who makes the decision about what to eat and drink. The economy is still in bad shape with job losses and high overall unemployment. Inexpensive food and drink options help many people stave off hunger. This is the reality of the times. Fix one issue at a time. One more tax is not the way to go.

Pennies count no matter the size of the beverage.

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The 3-Pounder

Don’t get excited; I’m not talking about a burger eating contest. I’m sure someone is ready to test his personal best, and prove his overeating mettle, but I’m talking fruit. Most likely a healthier discussion!

Yes, something’s going on at the grocery store. Somebody very smart, somewhere, figured out that buying fruit by the pound could tip the scales over the budget limits, but buying affordable 3-lb bags seemed somehow logical. With the economy in its current circular cycle, shoppers needed products in more manageable sizes: They could no longer afford to fill their kitchens with 10 lb bags of an assortment of fruits. Welcome to the 3-pound bags.

Selection varies from store to store, but there are multiple varieties within a category such as apples: Saw 4-5 different types of apples (even found organic honey crisps) in this 3 lber easy-to-carry bagapplebags. Another positive besides price, storage, and variety, they were smaller apples: Perfect lunch box or brown bag size. Hey, someone has figured this out.

There are small bags of all types of oranges, too. Not seen much in the way of grapefruit, but figure this year with the various negative temperature cycles, small grapefruits will become popular, too.

We’re talking economy of scale.

OK, economy.

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Here We Go Again: Restaurant Specials

If you want to measure the strength of the economy or its improvement out of the recession cellar, then look at restaurants or more specifically, restaurant specials. They are starting to come in again. Maybe they never stopped fully, but they are multiplying again. It feels a lot like last year at this time when you look at some of these offers.

The Palm has paired a 9 oz filet with a 1-1/4 lb crab stuffed lobster, accompanied by asparagus. Good until the end of March ($47.95)

The Capital Grille has a 4-course menu (appetizer, salad, entree, and dessert). Good until the end of February ($49).

P. F. Chang’s makes every afternoon (3-6 P) a happy time with reduced priced liquids and solids ($3-$6). That’s simple pricing easy to remember!margarita_wraps

Chili’s offers 3 courses (a starter, 2 entrees, and a dessert) for $20. The entree choice includes the new mini taco menu. Remember this is really a $20 deal for 2 people to share.

These are just a few of the national players getting in on enticing menus with early seasonal specials. The list can easily be updated regularly.

Don’t forget the smaller guys: The sandwich places, the local happy hours, and the numerous choices for lunch deals.

Time to take a break and dine out.

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Breakfast: The Most Important Meal

For years nutritionists have been saying kick your metabolism into gear by having breaksfast. Start your day with fuel and the rest of the day will move along nicely. Puns intended.

Plenty of restaurants and quick-service spots have obviously heard the rallying cry–it translates as Ka-Ching as dollars are going into the register with record speed as breakfast has become a bigger stop than just for the all-mighty cup of coffee. The examples speak volumes.

Chick-Fil-A: They just introduced a new breakfast menu with with a low-calorie yogurt parfait (Theyogurtparfaity quickly decided this item would be a popular all-day choice so its availability extends beyond 10:30AM) and mini nuggets–(Chick-n-Minis)–you know, a hand-held slider. Judging by the early morning drive-thru line, the concept must already be working.

IHOP: Breakfast anytime is their concept as they move into the new year with the return of the All-You-Can Eat Buttermilk Pancakes starting at $4.99. It’s not just a plate of pancakes on this special as the combo accompaniments of eggs, hash browns, and meat are part of round one. Pancakes can keep on coming until it’s time to roll yourself out the door.

–McDonald’s: They  took on the breakfast brigade with the national rollout of the $1 menu (sausage biscuit, burrito, or McMuffin, and, of course, hashbrowns).

Sonic Drive-In has several breakfast choices on the dollar menu including the Junior Breakfast Burrito with Sausage. They subscribe to the breakfast anytime motto.

All-Day Breakfast and price-competitive menus seem to be the theme starting the New Year. That, of course, and the big shout out about new, better grinds for truly enjoyable coffee!

With all the drive-n-go or eat ‘n run options, is anybody really focused on the Breakfast Metabolism starter or just finding filling food at affordable prices?

A little less food; a better cup of coffee.

Thank you.

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The Year of the (Chef) Burger

This year, the one we’re saying good bye to, has been a major gut check experience. We learned a lot about ourselves as we changed our spending patterns. We became savers! Unheard of!

In our saving mentality, we started to cook more, eat at home more, and dine out differently. No longer was every restaurant meal one that approached stratospheric prices. We welcomed new places that promised better buys, greater attention to our needs, not just THEIR bottom line. We patronized new burger spots and bistros, the types of restaurants that succeed during tough times.

Big-name chefs figured it out and rearranged menus and moved into this dining space. Why not? Customers were receptive. Tables were full. The price was right: A perfect solution to wanting to dine out but refusing to spend 4-star dollars.

If chefs like Daniel Boulud (Daniel and DBGB Kitchen & Bar), Laurent Tourondel (BLT Steak and BLT Burger), Danny Meyer (Union Square Hospitality and Shake Shack), and Michel Richard (Citronelle and Central Michel Richard) are flipping burgers; there’s a good reason for their aggressive moves: Dining Dollars talk. It’s not that their fancy restaurants sit empty; it’s just more likely that diners can opt for frequent USH_ShakeShackburger or bistro stops several times a month!

So much of the year was spent saying, “Don’t worry, it’s almost over.” The elusive elephant has never really left the room. The economy has improved but more people are on the breadline. We want everything to be better; we want to return to the more carefree universe that gave us tacit permission to eat out and carry in without as much anxiety about our decisions.

We welcome the Burger and Bistro approach.

The lines are long.

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Good Deeds: Food Needs

This is the time of year that the true reality of the economic crisis comes front and center. With the holidays fast approaching, the gloomy news strikes a negative chord with the recent release from the USDA about the number of people, 50 million, who do not have enough food to fill the family table.

We can work in soup kitchens and we can deliver food to shelters and support food banks, but the problem is so much more pervasive than an occasional boost from private citizens. In this vast country, the news that so many go hungry should ignite the discussions into actions to solve this growing problem.

There are a few glimmers from private corporations and foundations ready to step in and help work toward ending hunger in this country.

The W.K. Kellogg Foundation has taken a decisive approach, one that other companies and foundations might consider emulating. The beneficiaries from $32.5 million (”Food & Community”) will be used for food-related work in nine communities. The goals are  to help these communities transform school food systems, improve community food environments, promote active living and routine physical activity, and sustain and expand the movement for healthful food.

One of the recipients from such a far-reaching program is the local farmers in western Massachusetts. The schools will be purchasing foods directly from the farmers. Students will get fresh, local foods and, in turn, learn about where their food comes from.

Hopefully, the Foundation has set a standard that others can emulate. Share Our Strength has made the elimination of childhood hunger its most important mandate. The number of children (over 17% of all children last year) were without enough food. Staggering statistics.

The sheer numbers of those who go hungry are frightening. This dire need must be addressed at the government and corporate level. As individuals we can help, but the problem has escalated beyond a simple one-tier solution.breadline

This is America, the land of opportunity. We cannot continue a negative slide backwards to the hunger lines from the 20’s. Food banks feel the pain.

What happened?

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